Bitcoin Recovers Above $101,000 After Weekend Losses
Bitcoin rebounded late Sunday, trading above $101,000 after losses over the weekend as investors reacted to joint U.S.-Israeli airstrikes targeting Iran’s nuclear facilities.
Market Resilience Reflects Expectations of a Limited Conflict
Bitcoin’s rise coincided with minor movements in gold prices and muted reactions in oil and stock futures markets, indicating traders are expecting a limited conflict rather than a prolonged geopolitical shock.
The U.S. operation, coordinated with Israel, targeted Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan using over 125 aircraft and bunker-busting munitions.
Iran Responds with Missiles and Drones; Emergency Talks in Moscow
Iran responded by launching missile and drone attacks on Israeli cities and threatened to strike U.S. bases in the Gulf. Iran’s Foreign Minister traveled to Moscow on Sunday for emergency talks, while U.S. President Donald Trump hinted at a pause on further American military actions.
A final decision on next steps may come within two weeks, with European nations urging restraint and a return to diplomacy.
Gold and Oil React Calmly
Despite the escalation, markets stabilized quickly. Gold briefly rose to $3,398/oz before slipping back to $3,374. Oil pared early gains, ending up just 0.5% for the session.
The “Kobeissi Letter” wrote on X: “Markets still anticipate a short-lived war,” noting oil prices remain well below historical levels associated with Hormuz Strait disruptions.
Crypto Markets Steady Amid Volatility
Cryptocurrencies mirrored cautious sentiment. While Bitcoin saw selling at the height of weekend tensions, traders returned as risk appetite recovered.
Pav Hundal, lead analyst at Swyftx, told Decrypt: “We saw nervous trading in the hours after the U.S. strike. Trading volumes remain high.”
He added: “If tensions ease in the Middle East, we expect renewed investor confidence, pushing prices upward.”
Uncertainty Prevails, Crypto Volatility Remains
“No one — not even Trump — knows what’s next,” Hundal said. “This uncertainty creates discomfort for traders.”
He emphasized, “Bitcoin is still an emerging asset. It’s not surprising to see markets de-risk after major events. This volatility is part of the crypto market’s nature.”
Bitcoin Dips to $98,200 After U.S. Strikes
Bitcoin fell to $98,200 on Sunday as the Middle East conflict escalated. President Trump announced strikes on three nuclear sites Saturday night, sparking global risk-off sentiment that pushed Bitcoin below the $100,000 psychological threshold.
Massive Derivatives Liquidations
According to CoinGlass, nearly 187,016 traders were liquidated in the last 24 hours, with total liquidations exceeding $656.12 million.
The largest single liquidation was a $35.45 million BTC/USDT position on HTX.
Potential Iranian Retaliation Adds Risk Pressure
Speculation about an Iranian response is adding to Bitcoin volatility, increasing the chance of wider Middle East conflict and driving risk-asset pressure.
Japanese Firm Buys the Dip
Despite turmoil, institutional interest remained strong. Japanese investment firm Metaplanet announced Monday it purchased 1,111 more BTC, bringing its total holdings to 11,111 BTC.
Bitcoin Price Outlook: Temporary Rebound Before More Downside?
The daily BTC/USDT chart shows price closing Saturday below the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) at $102,942 and dipping to a low of $98,200 the next day.
As of Monday morning, price had recovered slightly, hovering around $101,800.
Two key scenarios emerge:
Scenario 1: Rebound Toward Resistance Zone
Price may gradually rise toward the 50-EMA at $102,968 and the Point of Control (POC) at $103,800, which saw the highest volume since April. This $102,968–$103,800 range is a major resistance zone.
Scenario 2: CME Gap Fill
Bitcoin futures on CME show a price gap between $101,705 and $103,365, likely to be “filled” before continuing its broader trend. This aligns with the aforementioned resistance levels and suggests a potential short-term bounce before resuming the downward trajectory.
